Rotation Signals
When to rotate into EM, Asia, Europe, or stay US-centric. Built from currently-updating data — dollar trend, 10y yield, commodity momentum, and 3-month relative strength of regional ETFs vs SPY.
Scoreboard
Every ticker ranked by macro-fit × price-trend. Both must agree for a green light. Trend score combines moving-average position, 6-month risk-adjusted momentum, 3-month relative strength vs SPY, and 60-day trend-quality (regression R²).
Market Health
Narrowing breadth and stretching valuations often precede a regime flip. When health turns red, get defensive even if the regime label hasn't moved yet.
Valuation — percentile vs last 10 years
Leading Indicators
Economic signals that historically move before the regime changes. Z-score vs last 10 years. Green = bullish, red = bearish.
Regime Forecast
Markov transition probabilities from 100 years of monthly labels. Not a prediction engine — a base rate for how past regimes have flipped.
Historical Analogs
The 10 months in history whose macro coordinates are closest to today, and what each asset did over the following 12 months. A base rate, not a forecast.