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@ADZO
@ADZO

Macro investing and chart analysis — so Malaysian investors can see the big picture, read the chart, and build a portfolio that actually holds up.

Macro · Agricultural Commodities · Hormuz Crisis Series

When Three Shocks Collide: Tariffs, War, and the Agricultural Repricing Nobody Is Modelling

Liberation Day tariffs, the Iran-Hormuz crisis, and retaliatory trade disruption are converging on a single planting cycle. History says one shock moves prices. Three shocks change the regime.

31 Mar 2026 14 min read
Macro · Oil · Geopolitics

1973 vs 2026 Oil Shock: The Playbook Repeats

Oil shocks don't cause crises — they expose the policy mistakes already baked in. The 1970s proved it. The Hormuz closure is proving it again. Here's the anatomy of both, side by side.

28 Mar 2026 15 min read
Data Literacy · Chart Analysis

The Relative Performance Trick: How Charts Lie Without Lying

A Fundstrat chart on the Iran conflict looks bullish for crypto and energy. But the framing hides a bloodbath. Here's how relative performance charts mislead — and when they're actually useful.

27 Mar 2026 8 min read
Macro · China · Watchlist

China's Credit Pulse Is Flickering — Here's What I'm Watching

Four macro signals confirmed. Two still missing. TSF stabilising, Caixin PMI at 52.1, DXY below 100, yuan up 6%. But the copper/gold composite and 70-city home prices haven't crossed the threshold yet.

March 2026 6 min read
Macro · Markets · Malaysia Investor Alert

The TACO Trade: How a Single 7am Post Moves $1.7 Trillion — And Why Malaysian Investors Are Paying for It

Wall Street named the trade after him. Iran called it manipulation. A Nobel laureate called it treason. The only people not told yet are the retail investors 14,000 km away who wake up wondering why their portfolio moved while they slept.

March 2026 12 min read
Macro · Gold · Safe-Haven Breakdown

Gold's Paradox: Why the Ultimate Crisis Metal Is Crashing in the Biggest Crisis of Our Era

Gold just posted its worst week since 1983 — during the largest oil supply disruption in history. Three forces explain why the safe-haven playbook broke: real yields, leveraged paper markets, and the dollar.

March 2026 8 min read
Macro · Geopolitics · Investor Strategy

China Is Watching. The World Is Watching. And the Clock Is Running Out.

The US is burning through precision missiles in the Iran war. China is watching. History says this is what empire decline looks like — and the 1956 Suez Crisis is the playbook.

March 2026 10 min read
Macro · Commodities · Interactive

The Commodity Supercycle

After a decade of underinvestment, AI-driven demand and geopolitical fragmentation are converging. Five supercycles. Five interactive charts. One thesis every investor needs to understand.

March 2026 12 min read
Malaysia · Unit Trust · Investing 101

Unit Trust vs Fixed Deposit Malaysia 2026: Which Is Better?

FD pays 2.35%. Malaysian equities yield 4.5%. Equity funds return 8–10% historically. We run the numbers over 20 years so you can stop guessing and start deciding.

March 2026 10 min read
Malaysia · Investment · MY Focus Fund

Why Malaysia in 2026

GDP at 6.3%. Asia's highest dividends at 4.5%. Ringgit at 5-year highs. RM144bn in tech investment. The case for investing at home — in plain English.

March 2026 8 min read
Macro · Iran War 2026

The Market That Didn't Get the Memo

Oil +67%. Rates rising. Dollar surging. US stocks: −2%. Four markets are reading the same playbook. One isn't. Someone is wrong.

March 2026 7 min read
Opinion · Investor Psychology

Rich Dad, Broken Compass

Kiyosaki's book changed how I think about money. Then he spent 15 years predicting crashes that never came — and I had to decide whether to keep listening.

March 2026 9 min read
Markets · Investor Psychology

8 Crash Predictions. 0 Crashes. +400% S&P 500.

Robert Kiyosaki has called a market crash every year since 2009. The S&P 500 has quadrupled. We tracked every call, every return, every miss.

March 2026 6 min read
Investment Analysis

Do Bonds Really Protect You When Markets Crash? We Checked 5 Crises.

We compared Malaysian stocks, bond funds, and international bonds across five major crashes. The results might surprise you.

March 2026 8 min read
Macro · Oil · Currency

The Double Squeeze: Why Japan Is Caught Between Oil and the Dollar

Japan pays for its energy in dollars it doesn't print. When Brent rises and the yen weakens at the same time, the pain doesn't add — it multiplies.

March 2026 7 min read
Macro Liquidity

The Bond Market's Crystal Ball for Stocks

The 10Y–2Y yield curve spread predicted every major S&P 500 crash and rally for 27 years — from dot-com to the Iran war. Here's the proof.

March 2026 5 min read
@ADZO

Macro investing and chart analysis for Malaysian investors. Understand why markets move, read the chart, and build a portfolio built to last.